Hola Amigos! Well well well... we witnessed another eventful race last Sunday in New Hampshire. And after the burn out smoke has cleared and all of the water bottles have been picked up, we are left with a little shake up in our League. We'll get to that in a minute, but first let's talk about Kyle Busch's continued surge to that 30th place Chase spot. 3 wins in the last 4 races has now pulled him to within 58 points of that 30th spot... with 7 races to go. I think he'll make it with no issues at this point... Gilliand, Whitt and Moffitt are standing in his way, but these guys are not very consistent... Hell, he may make it up to 25th by the time the Chase starts.
Let's get to it.
TOP PICKS:
Race winner Kyle Busch was picked by 5 teams. 3 of which get their HUGE 3rd wins while the other 2 get their 4th and 5th wins. The Kyle Busch pick gains 34 points on League leader Empty.. Skidmarks (2nd) is now just 13 points away and is locked in to the Chase with his 3rd win. Rusty (3rd) is now only 20 points back and also gets that 3rd win. Look at Kiss! Up 3 huge spots to 4th and grabs his 5th win... wow! Penguin up 1 spot to 11th, but more importantly gets that 3rd win... should I coast now or try to grab a Club Ocho Primo spot?? Same question for Pursuit up 1 spot to 12th, but now has 4 wins and that would translate into some nice Bonus points if he were to make his way into Club Ocho Primo. If not... no credit for those wins other than a spot in the Chase of course. Congratulations Fellas your Chase Health is GREEN!
Chonk (13th) took 4th place finisher Logano. He moves up a spot to 13th but is 56 points away from a Chase spot with just one win... he needed Logano to get the win here for sure.
Congratulations on a good week but Chonk's Chase Health is RED.
Ideal, Piston and Shepard took 7th place Edwards. Ideal moves up a spot to 5th and has 2 wins... a 3rd win here would have been nice, but Ideal's Chase Health is GREEN. Piston stays in 8th and has 2 wins. Chase Health is GREEN. Shepard stays in 10th, is 32 points back from 8th, and has 1 win. Chase Health is YELLOW.
EH...:
Asleep took McMurray who finished 26th. Asleep drops down to a tie for 13th but is locked in with those 3 wins. Chase Health is GREEN.
DOOTW:
Empty (1st) and Beef 6th) took 31st place finisher Larson. Empty holds on to the top spot, but his lead has shrunk considerably... I think he's just saving his stuff for the Green White Checkered. Beef dropped 2 spots to 6th. Our defending Champ**** knows the value of those Bonus points, so I'm sure he's planning a big rebound week in Indianapolis. They may be stinky in the oven this week, but both of these teams' Chase Health are GREEN.
BSOTW:
Dust (7th) and Graziano (9th) took Bowyer (34th). Dust drops 2 spots to 7th. With just 1 win but 34 points clear of 9th Dust's Chase Health is a cautious GREEN. Graziano stays in 9th but loses ground on that 8th place spot. Graziano has plenty of races left to get that 3rd win and is just 31 points from 8th, so there are still options on how he gets into the Postseason. Graz's Chase Health is a strong YELLOW.
I guess Bowyer doesn't only hate me...
OTHER RAMBLINGS:
Indianapolis this week on Sunday.
We have 8 teams locked in thus far and 5 of them currently have VIP Seats in Club Ocho Primo. The 3 teams in Club Ocho have been strong all year, but could technically fall out of the Chase in 1 race. The opposite can happen for 2 of the 3 less than 3 win teams outside of Club Ocho Primo. Let's see if these teams can finish strong and get locked in over the next 7 races.
For those locked in... do you go for the Bonus points or save your stuff for the Chase??? Of course it depends on where you are in the standings, but for all teams it is not that straightforward.
Usually when I start mulling over the possibilities, you guys log a bunch of wins and throw my analysis out the window... let's hope that is the case in Indy.
...It is nice to be back in the Chase after taking last year off!
Good luck to all!
Cheers!
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